Monday, June 18, 2018

Bitcoin In Recovery, If Key Support Holds

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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to be in recovery mode, however the bulls should keep costs higher than key support seen slightly below $6,500 to take care of momentum, the technical charts indicate.

The cryptocurrency clocked a high of $6,736 on Bitfinex yesterday amid signs of a bear breather. However, discount hunters were short in provide and costs fell back below $6,600 at 01:00 UTC today. Bitcoin has spent a much better a part of the last seven hours trading within the narrow range of $6,550 to $6,620.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $6,590 – up 7.2 % from Wednesday's 18-week low of $6,109.

While it's too early to decision a bottom, the emerging recovery shows promise, with bitcoin holding well higher than the previous support-turned-resistance of $6,425 (April one low).

As per the charts, though, an surprising break below $6,480 may pour cold water on the optimism and signal a start of the sell-off.




The chart shows BTC has created a bear flag – a pessimistic continuation pattern. a break below $6,480 (flag support) would mean the corrective rally from the recent low of $6,109 has concluded and therefore the bear market has resumed.

Such a bear flag breakdown, if confirmed, would enable a sell-off to $5,750 (target as per the measured height technique, i.e. pole height deducted from breakdown price).

That target appearance possible when viewed against the scene of pessimistic long-run technical setup. Further, the 7 % recovery from the recent lows has upraised the relative strength index (RSI) well higher than oversold region (below 30.00) providing scope for additional sell-off.

What's more, the RSI is teasing an opportunity below the ascending trendline (bearish signal).

Clearly, the percentages are high that corrective rally may collapse below $6,480. Meanwhile, the upside is seen gathering traction if BTC finds acceptance higher than the immediate resistance of $6,619 (dotted yellow line within the hourly chart).

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Bear flag breakdown (a move below $6,480) would imply start of the sell-off and will yield a drop to $5,750.

A daily close (as per UTC) below $6,000 (February low) would solely bolster the already pessimistic long-run technicals and open up draw back towards the $5,000 mark.

On the upper aspect, acceptance higher than $6,618 may bring a climb towards resistance settled at $6,900 (June 11 high) and $7,000 (psychological mark).


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